Does strong demand for motor vehicles do inflation? (Photo: Freepik, Clalinus)
Washington-even if Trump rushes back now-with his customs announcements, he has put consumers and companies into an alarm state. Almost all experts expect pressure on prices. This could already be reflected in the current number of inflation for April.
The Factset forecast However, calculates with a slight decline in inflation, by 0.1 points to 2.3 percent in the year. In 2.8 percent as in March, the economists surveyed see the core rate without food and energy, which reflects the price buoyancy on the economic basis.
FED does not reduce Leit zins again – Americans prefer purchases
“Inflation remains slightly increased,” said the US currency keeper of the Federal Reserve at theirs Interest decision last week firmly. At the same time, the risks and uncertainty have increased. Reason enough for the central bankers to leave the key interest rate at 425 at 450 basis points.
Does customs policy already have an effect in April? An increase in inflation in car prices is about Economist Stephen Juneau from the Bank of America for likely. The reason is an increased demand because consumers have preferred their investment in the expectation of future tariffs.
Consumers fear price buoyancy – forecast of the Fedwatch Tools
The US consumers have expected office since Trump With a higher inflation: In April, as in March, 3.6 percent of inflation in 2025 awaited them. While a stronger price increase for rents or raw materials is forecast, the inflation expectation for food was decreased.
Is Trump’s desire for interest reductions heard despite price risks by the central bankers around Fed boss Jerome Powell? The markets calculate with 2 to 3 steps in 2025. That Fedwatch tool the chance for an interest rate reduction by 25 basis points at the Fed meeting on June 18 to 8.2 percent, at the session on July 30th it is 35.9 percent. (As of May 12, 4.20 p.m. CEST).